Quantitative model · Derivatives
Option valuation under Black–Scholes–Merton and Cox–Ross–Rubinstein
The model compares closed-form and lattice values, sensitivities, convergence, and early-exercise effects under one set of inputs.
Decision summary
Use agreement to validate the implementation—not the market model
Interpretation
For European options, Black–Scholes and a sufficiently fine CRR tree should converge. For American exercise, the lattice also represents early-exercise value that the closed form omits.
Decision context
Cross-method agreement shows that a pricing implementation is numerically coherent. It does not show that constant volatility, continuous hedging, or Gaussian returns describe the market.
Intended analytical use
Derivatives practitioners, quantitative developers, model validators, and researchers use it to separate numerical error from model risk.
Principal limitation
This educational tool uses user-selected inputs rather than a live option chain. Its outputs are model values, not executable prices or investment advice.
Contract & Market
Binomial lattice
American style is priced on the lattice only; the closed form applies to European exercise.
Pricing results
Greeks are Black-Scholes analytical values for the European contract.
Option value by underlying price
View representative option-value data
Option value by volatility
View representative volatility data
The closed form
Black-Scholes-Merton
Under the model's assumptions, the arbitrage-free price of a European call on an asset paying a continuous dividend yield \(q\) is
with \(N(\cdot)\) the standard normal CDF, evaluated here with an erf approximation (Abramowitz & Stegun 7.1.26, accurate to about \(1.5\times10^{-7}\)). The put follows from put-call parity. The formula's power comes from what it assumes away:
- Geometric Brownian motion
- The underlying follows \(dS = \mu S\,dt + \sigma S\,dW\) with constant volatility — log-returns are i.i.d. Gaussian. Real returns have fat tails and volatility that clusters.
- Frictionless, continuous hedging
- The derivation replicates the option by trading the stock continuously with no costs or gaps. Discrete hedging and transaction costs leave residual risk the price ignores.
- Constant rate, no arbitrage
- A single risk-free rate for borrowing and lending, with no arbitrage. Reasonable at short horizons; strained across regimes.
- Continuing analytical utility
- The market uses it in reverse: quote the price, invert for implied volatility. The formula became a coordinate system rather than a forecast — a theme the case study takes up in full.
The lattice
Cox-Ross-Rubinstein
The binomial model discretizes time into \(N\) steps of length \(\Delta t = \tau/N\). Each step the price moves up by \(u = e^{\sigma\sqrt{\Delta t}}\) or down by \(d = 1/u\), with risk-neutral probability
The lattice prices by backward induction from the terminal payoffs, discounting the expected value one step at a time. Two properties make it more than a numerical curiosity. First, the CRR price converges to Black-Scholes as \(N \to \infty\). The tree is the binomial construction of Brownian motion. Raising \(N\) makes that convergence visible. The oscillation at low \(N\) is the tree's discrete strikes straddling the true value. Second, the lattice handles what the closed form cannot: early exercise. At each node an American option is worth the greater of continuation value and immediate exercise. That is a free-boundary problem with no closed-form solution. Toggle the American put above and note the premium over its European twin. That gap is the value of the right to exercise early, largest deep in the money and when rates are high.